Express confidence in ranges, update predictions with new information, and track calibration over time. Use for project estimation, risk assessment, and decision making under uncertainty.
Install
npx skills add tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills --skill thinking-probabilisticnpx skills add tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills --skill thinking-probabilistic -a claude-code -gnpx skills add tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills --skill thinking-probabilistic -a codex -ggemini skills install https://github.com/tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills.git --path skills/thinking-probabilisticgh skill install tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills thinking-probabilisticgit clone --depth 1 https://github.com/tjboudreaux/cc-thinking-skills /tmp/tjboudreaux__cc-thinking-skills
mkdir -p ~/.claude/skills ~/.agents/skills
cp -R /tmp/tjboudreaux__cc-thinking-skills/skills/thinking-probabilistic ~/.claude/skills/thinking-probabilistic # Claude Code
cp -R /tmp/tjboudreaux__cc-thinking-skills/skills/thinking-probabilistic ~/.agents/skills/thinking-probabilistic # Codex, Cursor, Gemini CLI, Copilot, OpenCode